2024 United States Senate election in North Dakota
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  Cramer: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% Christiansen: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% Tie: 50% No votes | |||||||||||||||||
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| Elections in North Dakota |
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The 2024 United States Senate election in North Dakota was held on November 5, 2024, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the state of North Dakota. Republican incumbent Kevin Cramer was re-elected to a second term in office, defeating Democratic–NPL educator Katrina Christiansen in the general election with more than 66% of the vote. Primary elections took place on June 11, 2024, with Cramer and Christiansen winning their respective party's nomination unopposed.[1]
This marked the first time since 1958 that a Republican incumbent won re-election in this class 1 seat. Cramer more than tripled his margin from 2018 and won 10 counties he lost in 2018.
Republican primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Kevin Cramer, incumbent U.S. senator (2019–present)[2]
Endorsements
Kevin Cramer
Executive Branch officials
- Donald Trump, 45th President of the United States (2017–2021)[3]
Organizations
Fundraising
| Campaign finance reports as of June 30, 2024 | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Candidate | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand |
| Kevin Cramer (R) | $5,423,493 | $2,328,177 | $3,290,838 |
| Source: Federal Election Commission[8] | |||
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Kevin Cramer (incumbent) | 82,692 | 100.00% | |
| Total votes | 82,692 | 100.00% | ||
Democratic-NPL primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Katrina Christiansen, University of Jamestown engineering professor and nominee for North Dakota’s other U.S. Senate seat in 2022[9]
Endorsements
Katrina Christiansen
- Statewide officials
- Roger Johnson, former North Dakota Agriculture Commissioner (1996–2009)[10]
- Sarah Vogel, former North Dakota Agriculture Commissioner (1989–1997)[10]
Organizations
Fundraising
| Campaign finance reports as of June 30, 2024 | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Candidate | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand |
| Katrina Christiansen (D-NPL) | $1,154,175 | $957,217 | $200,218 |
| Source: Federal Election Commission[8] | |||
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic–NPL | Katrina Christiansen | 19,690 | 100.00% | |
| Total votes | 19,690 | 100.00% | ||
Independents
Filed paperwork
- Kristin Hedger, manufacturing executive and Democratic nominee for North Dakota Secretary of State in 2006[15]
General election
Predictions
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[16] | Solid R | November 9, 2023 |
| Inside Elections[17] | Solid R | November 9, 2023 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[18] | Safe R | November 9, 2023 |
| Decision Desk HQ/The Hill[19] | Safe R | June 8, 2024 |
| Elections Daily[20] | Safe R | May 4, 2023 |
| CNalysis[21] | Solid R | November 21, 2023 |
| RealClearPolitics[22] | Solid R | August 5, 2024 |
| Split Ticket[23] | Safe R | October 23, 2024 |
| 538[24] | Solid R | October 23, 2024 |
Polling
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[a] |
Margin of error |
Kevin Cramer (R) |
Katrina Christiansen (D) |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| WPA Intelligence[25][A] | September 28–30, 2024 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 51% | 29% | – | 20% |
| Lake Research Partners (D)[26][B] | September 23–26, 2024 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 49% | 40% | 2%[b] | 9% |
| WPA Intelligence (R)[27][C] | September 22–24, 2024 | 521 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 60% | 31% | – | 9% |
| Lake Research Partners (D)[28][B] | June 28 – August 2, 2024 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 51% | 38% | – | 11% |
| Public Opinion Strategies[29][D] | June 15–19, 2024 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 65% | 28% | – | 6% |
| Emerson College[30] | October 1–4, 2023 | 419 (RV) | ± 4.8% | 45% | 19% | 9% | 28% |
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Kevin Cramer (incumbent) | 241,569 | 66.31% | +11.20% | |
| Democratic–NPL | Katrina Christiansen | 121,602 | 33.38% | −10.89% | |
| Write-in | 1,156 | 0.32% | -0.31% | ||
| Total votes | 364,327 | 100.00% | N/A | ||
| Republican hold | |||||
Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican
- Cass (largest city: Fargo)
- Barnes (largest city: Valley City)
- Grand Forks (largest city: Grand Forks)
- Nelson (largest city: Lakota)
- Richland (largest city: Wahpeton)
- Traill (largest city: Mayville)
- Benson (largest CDP: Fort Totten)
- Ransom (largest city: Lisbon)
- Sargent (largest city: Gwinner)
- Steele (largest city: Finley)
Notes
Partisan clients
References
- ^ "2024 State Primary Election Dates". www.ncsl.org. Retrieved May 13, 2023.
- ^ Nelson, TJ; Voorhees, Alison; Monk, Jim (October 8, 2023). "ND Republican Sen. Cramer To Run for Another Term in 2024, Dem. Candidate Also Emerges". KVRR. Retrieved October 30, 2023.
- ^ Porter, Joel (March 12, 2024). "Senator Cramer responds to Donald Trump endorsement". KX Television. Retrieved March 18, 2024.
- ^ "Support Pro-Israel Candidates". AIPAC PAC. Retrieved April 7, 2023.
- ^ "Clear Path Action Fund". Clear Path Action Fund. Retrieved February 11, 2024.
- ^ "IFA Endorses Congressional Candidates Ahead of June Primary Elections | International Franchise Association". www.franchise.org. June 3, 2024. Retrieved June 3, 2024.
- ^ "Sen. Kevin Cramer receives NDGOP endorsement". April 6, 2024.
- ^ a b "2024 Election United States Senate - North Dakota". fec.gov. Federal Election Commission. Retrieved August 11, 2023.
- ^ Fulton, Jacob (October 18, 2023). "Christiansen announces second Democratic bid for US Senate". The Bismarck Tribune. Retrieved October 18, 2023.
- ^ a b DeVries, Morgan (March 1, 2024). "Former ag commissioners endorse Christiansen for U.S. Senate". KX Television. Retrieved March 1, 2024.
- ^ "2024 Federal Endorsements". NOW PAC. Retrieved November 9, 2023.
- ^ "Endorsed Candidates". National Women's Political Caucus. Retrieved March 18, 2024.
- ^ "Katrina Christiansen endorsed for Senate by Dem-NPL". April 6, 2024.
- ^ "2024 Candidates for Common Good". Vote Common Good. Retrieved January 24, 2024.
- ^ "Statement of candidacy" (PDF). fec.gov. Retrieved April 14, 2023.
- ^ "2024 Senate Race ratings". Cook Political Report. Retrieved January 25, 2023.
- ^ "Senate Ratings". Inside Elections. January 6, 2023. Retrieved January 10, 2023.
- ^ "2024 Senate". Sabato's Crystal Ball. January 24, 2023. Retrieved February 13, 2023.
- ^ "2024 Senate prediction map". elections2024.thehill.com/. The Hill. June 8, 2024. Retrieved June 8, 2024.
- ^ "Election Ratings". Elections Daily. August 1, 2023. Retrieved August 2, 2023.
- ^ "'24 Senate Forecast". CNalysis. Retrieved November 21, 2023.
- ^ "Battle for the Senate 2024". RealClearPolitics. Retrieved August 5, 2024.
- ^ "2024 Senate Forecast". Split Ticket. Retrieved October 23, 2024.
- ^ "2024 Election Forecast". FiveThirtyEight. Archived from the original on October 26, 2024. Retrieved October 23, 2024.
- ^ WPA Intelligence
- ^ Lake Research Partners (D)
- ^ WPA Intelligence (R)
- ^ Lake Research Partners (D)
- ^ Public Opinion Strategies
- ^ Emerson College
- ^ "Official (without recounts) 2024 General Election Results". Vote.nd.gov. Retrieved November 22, 2024.
External links
Official campaign websites