2010 United States House of Representatives elections in Pennsylvania

2010 United States House of Representatives elections in Pennsylvania

November 2, 2010 (2010-11-02)

All 19 Pennsylvania seats to the United States House of Representatives
  Majority party Minority party
 
Party Republican Democratic
Last election 7 12
Seats won 12 7
Seat change Increase 5 Decrease 5
Popular vote 2,034,145 1,882,202
Percentage 51.41% 47.57%
Swing Increase 7.96% Decrease 7.88%

The 2010 congressional elections in Pennsylvania were held on November 2, 2010. Pennsylvania had nineteen seats in the United States House of Representatives. The election was held on the same day as many other PA elections, and the same day as House of Representatives elections in other states. Party primary elections were held May 18, 2010.

Overview

United States House of Representatives elections in Pennsylvania, 2010[1]
Party Votes Percentage Seats Before Seats After +/–
Republican 2,034,145 51.41% 7 12 +5
Democratic 1,882,202 47.57% 12 7 -5
Independent 40,054 1.01% 0 0 0
Totals 3,956,401 100.00% 19 19

By district

Results of the 2010 United States House of Representatives elections in Pennsylvania by district:[2]

District Republican Democratic Others Total Result
Votes % Votes % Votes % Votes %
District 1 0 0.00% 149,944 100.00% 0 0.00% 149,944 100.00% Democratic hold
District 2 21,907 10.70% 182,800 89.30% 0 0.00% 204,707 100.00% Democratic hold
District 3 111,909 55.72% 88,924 44.28% 0 0.00% 200,833 100.00% Republican gain
District 4 116,958 49.19% 120,827 50.81% 0 0.00% 237,785 100.00% Democratic hold
District 5 127,427 68.69% 52,375 28.23% 5,710 3.08% 185,512 100.00% Republican hold
District 6 133,770 57.10% 100,493 42.90% 0 0.00% 234,263 100.00% Republican hold
District 7 137,825 54.94% 110,314 43.98% 2,708 1.08% 250,847 100.00% Republican gain
District 8 130,759 53.52% 113,547 46.48% 0 0.00% 244,306 100.00% Republican gain
District 9 141,904 73.06% 52,322 26.94% 0 0.00% 194,226 100.00% Republican hold
District 10 110,599 55.18% 89,846 44.82% 0 0.00% 200,445 100.00% Republican gain
District 11 102,179 54.70% 84,618 45.30% 0 0.00% 186,797 100.00% Republican gain
District 12 91,170 49.22% 94,056 50.78% 0 0.00% 185,226 100.00% Democratic hold
District 13 91,987 43.66% 118,710 56.34% 0 0.00% 210,697 100.00% Democratic hold
District 14 49,997 28.17% 122,073 68.79% 5,400 3.04% 177,470 100.00% Democratic hold
District 15 109,534 53.55% 79,766 39.00% 15,248 7.45% 204,548 100.00% Republican hold
District 16 134,113 65.39% 70,994 34.61% 0 0.00% 205,107 100.00% Republican hold
District 17 95,000 44.50% 118,486 55.50% 0 0.00% 213,486 100.00% Democratic hold
District 18 161,888 67.33% 78,558 32.67% 0 0.00% 240,446 100.00% Republican hold
District 19 165,219 71.91% 53,549 23.31% 10,988 4.78% 229,756 100.00% Republican hold
Total 2,034,145 51.41% 1,882,202 47.57% 40,054 1.01% 3,956,401 100.00%

District 1

2010 Pennsylvania's 1st congressional district election

 
Nominee Bob Brady
Party Democratic
Popular vote 149,944
Percentage 100.00%

U.S. representative before election

Bob Brady
Democratic

Elected U.S. representative

Bob Brady
Democratic

Democratic incumbent Bob Brady was the only member of the Pennsylvania delegation who ran unopposed in 2010.

Brady, a long time central figure in the Pennsylvania Democratic Party, has never received less than 74% in a general election, and opponents have had difficult recruiting even moderately electable candidates in this majority-minority district that includes South Philadelphia and some working class suburbs in Delaware County. No Republican has represented this district since 1949. In 2008, he earned 91% of the vote against Mike Muhammad, a teacher who raised no outside funds. Respected for his ability to reach political deals behind the scenes, Brady has garnered an image as an effective politician, and thus has been rarely challenged by other Democrats. In 2010, Pia Varma, a young freelance writer for conservative publications attempted to gain the Republican nomination, but failed to produce enough signatures to appear on the ballot.

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee

Primary results

Democratic primary results[3]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Bob Brady (incumbent) 48,505 100.00
Total votes 48,505 100.00

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[4] Safe D November 1, 2010
Rothenberg[5] Safe D November 1, 2010
Sabato's Crystal Ball[6] Safe D November 1, 2010
RCP[7] Safe D November 1, 2010
CQ Politics[8] Safe D October 28, 2010
New York Times[9] Safe D November 1, 2010
FiveThirtyEight[9] Safe D November 1, 2010

General election

Pennsylvania's 1st congressional district election, 2010
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Bob Brady (incumbent) 149,944 100.00
Total votes 149,944 100.00

District 2

2010 Pennsylvania's 2nd congressional district election

 
Nominee Chaka Fattah Rick Hellberg
Party Democratic Republican
Popular vote 182,800 21,907
Percentage 89.30% 10.70%

U.S. representative before election

Chaka Fattah
Democratic

Elected U.S. representative

Chaka Fattah
Democratic

Democratic incumbent Chaka Fattah ran for reelection. He faced Republican Rick Hellberg, the CEO of a small financial firm. In 2008, Obama carried this district with 90% of the vote.

Fattah represents one of the top five most Democratic districts in the country, and has never received less than 79% of the vote in his over fifteen-year House career. The district includes North Philadelphia and several traditionally liberal suburbs in Montgomery County. Fattah has had the consistent support of the African American community that is the base of a district that hasn't swung Republican since the 1946 elections. Despite this huge Democratic advantage, the district has small pockets of solid Republican territory, and thus Fattah has continuously received GOP opponents (although ones who were unable to raise all more than a few thousand dollars in fundraising), unlike his counterpart in the 1st District. In 2008, Fattah defeated engineer Adam Lang with 81% of the vote.

Fattah won the 2010 general election with 89.3% of the vote.[10]

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee

Primary results

Democratic primary results[3]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Chaka Fattah (incumbent) 72,417 100.00
Total votes 72,417 100.00

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee
  • Rick Hellberg, financial firm CEO

Primary results

Republican primary results[3]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Rick Hellberg 3,781 100.00
Total votes 3,781 100.00

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[4] Safe D November 1, 2010
Rothenberg[5] Safe D November 1, 2010
Sabato's Crystal Ball[6] Safe D November 1, 2010
RCP[7] Safe D November 1, 2010
CQ Politics[8] Safe D October 28, 2010
New York Times[9] Safe D November 1, 2010
FiveThirtyEight[9] Safe D November 1, 2010

General election

Pennsylvania's 2nd congressional district election, 2010
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Chaka Fattah (incumbent) 182,800 89.30
Republican Rick Hellberg 21,907 10.70
Total votes 204,707 100.00

District 3

2010 Pennsylvania's 3rd congressional district election

 
Nominee Mike Kelly Kathy Dahlkemper
Party Republican Democratic
Popular vote 111,909 88,924
Percentage 55.72% 44.28%

U.S. representative before election

Kathy Dahlkemper
Democratic

Elected U.S. representative

Mike Kelly
Republican

Democratic incumbent Kathy Dahlkemper unsuccessfully ran for re-election, losing to Republican businessman Mike Kelly, who received 55.7% of the vote.[10] In 2008, McCain carried this district with 49% of the vote.

Dahlkemper faced a difficult reelection bid, in a race that considered a tossup by most political analysts. Dahlkemper became used to tight campaigns in her short political career. A political unknown prior to her 2008 campaign, Dahlkemper leveraged a moderate, blue collar image that enticed Democratic voters in a district that is pro-union, with a center-right tilt on social issues. Dahlkemper, the owner of a large landscaping business and manager of an Erie County arboretum, came from behind to defeat Erie County Concilman Kyle Foust, the endorsed Democratic candidate. She then went on to narrowly unseat (with 52% of the vote) Congressman Phil English, a moderate Republican who had maintained good relations with labor, by attacking his ties to the Bush administration and for failing to follow through on a promise to retire after six terms. During her first term, Dahlkemper has served as a member of the Blue Dog Coalition of conservative Democrats, which has allowed her to keep a middle ground image. However, her vote in favor of healthcare legislation and the lack of an entrenched image in certain corners of the district left her vulnerable.

In 2010, Dahlkemper faced a primary challenge from former foreign affairs official Mel Marin, winning with 73% of the vote. Republicans focused heavily on regaining the seat, and six GOP candidates earned spots on the ballot: automobile dealer Mike Kelly, manufacturing executive Paul Huber, pharmaceutical representative Clayton Grabb, physician Steve Fisher, factory foreman Ed Franz, and accountant Martha Moore. Kelly and Huber far outraised the remaining four challengers, and they became entangled in an expensive campaign. Kelly was eventually victorious, winning 28% of the vote to Huber's 27% in the factious affair.

Kelly, a former member of the Butler City Council, had a base of support in the heavily Republican Butler County, while Dahlkemper was well known in Erie, the center of population for the district. Other small cities in the district, such as Sharon and Meadville were swing regions, with a slightly conservative tilt that balanced out strongly Democratic Erie. John McCain carried the 3rd District by a 49%-48% margin, which reflects the political balance of the area.

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee
Eliminated in primary
  • Mel Marin, foreign affairs official

Primary results

Democratic primary results[3]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Kathy Dahlkemper (incumbent) 34,932 73.24
Democratic Mel Marin 12,764 26.76
Total votes 47,696 100.00

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee
Eliminated in primary
  • Steven Fisher, physician
  • Ed Franz, factory foreman
  • Clayton Grabb, pharmaceutical representative
  • Paul Huber, manufacturing executive
  • Martha Moore, accountant

Primary results

Republican primary results[3]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Mike Kelly 15,428 28.11
Republican Paul Huber 14,474 26.38
Republican Clayton Grabb 7,486 13.64
Republican Steven Fisher 6,499 11.84
Republican Ed Franz 5,838 10.64
Republican Martha Moore 5,151 9.39
Total votes 54,876 100.00

Polling

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Kathy Dahlkemper (D) Mike Kelly (R) Undecided
The Hill/ANG Alliance[11] September 25–27, 2010 401 ± 4.9% 36% 49% 15%
Franklin-Marshall[12] September 14–19, 2010 482 ± 4.5% 38% 44% 18%
The Polling Company[13] July 29-August 1, 2010 314 ± 5.5% 46% 42% 11%

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[4] Lean R (flip) November 1, 2010
Rothenberg[5] Likely R (flip) November 1, 2010
Sabato's Crystal Ball[6] Lean R (flip) November 1, 2010
RCP[7] Lean R (flip) November 1, 2010
CQ Politics[8] Likely R (flip) October 28, 2010
New York Times[9] Lean R (flip) November 1, 2010
FiveThirtyEight[9] Likely R (flip) November 1, 2010

General election

Pennsylvania's 3rd congressional district election, 2010
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Mike Kelly 111,909 55.72
Democratic Kathy Dahlkemper (incumbent) 88,924 44.28
Total votes 200,833 100.00

District 4

2010 Pennsylvania's 4th congressional district election

 
Nominee Jason Altmire Keith Rothfus
Party Democratic Republican
Popular vote 120,827 116,958
Percentage 50.81% 49.19%

U.S. representative before election

Jason Altmire
Democratic

Elected U.S. representative

Jason Altmire
Democratic

Democratic incumbent Jason Altmire ran for re-election and faced Republican attorney Keith Rothfus. In 2008, McCain carried this district with 55% of the vote.

Altmire narrowly won re-election with 50.8% of the vote.[10]

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee

Primary results

Democratic primary results[3]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Jason Altmire (incumbent) 53,019 100.00
Total votes 53,019 100.00

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee
Eliminated in primary

Primary results

Republican primary results[3]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Keith Rothfus 34,996 66.41
Republican Mary Beth Buchanan 17,701 33.59
Total votes 52,697 100.00

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[4] Lean D November 1, 2010
Rothenberg[5] Likely D November 1, 2010
Sabato's Crystal Ball[6] Likely D November 1, 2010
RCP[7] Lean D November 1, 2010
CQ Politics[8] Likely D October 28, 2010
New York Times[9] Lean D November 1, 2010
FiveThirtyEight[9] Likely D November 1, 2010

General election

Pennsylvania's 4th congressional district election, 2010
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Jason Altmire (incumbent) 120,827 50.81
Republican Keith Rothfus 116,958 49.19
Total votes 237,785 100.00

District 5

2010 Pennsylvania's 5th congressional district election

 
Nominee Glenn Thompson Michael Pipe
Party Republican Democratic
Popular vote 127,427 52,375
Percentage 68.69% 28.23%

U.S. representative before election

Glenn Thompson
Republican

Elected U.S. representative

Glenn Thompson
Republican

Republican incumbent Glenn "G.T." Thompson successfully ran for re-election. He defeated Democrat Michael Pipe and Libertarian Vernon Etzel. In 2008, McCain carried this district with 55% of the vote.

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee
  • Michael Pipe

Primary results

Democratic primary results[3]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Michael Pipe 31,120 100.00
Total votes 31,120 100.00

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee

Primary results

Republican primary results[3]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Glenn Thompson (incumbent) 52,856 100.00
Total votes 52,856 100.00

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[4] Safe R November 1, 2010
Rothenberg[5] Safe R November 1, 2010
Sabato's Crystal Ball[6] Safe R November 1, 2010
RCP[7] Safe R November 1, 2010
CQ Politics[8] Safe R October 28, 2010
New York Times[9] Safe R November 1, 2010
FiveThirtyEight[9] Safe R November 1, 2010

General election

Pennsylvania's 5th congressional district election, 2010
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Glenn Thompson (incumbent) 127,427 68.69
Democratic Michael Pipe 52,375 28.23
Libertarian Vernon Etzel 5,710 3.08
Total votes 185,512 100.00

District 6

2010 Pennsylvania's 6th congressional district election

 
Nominee Jim Gerlach Manan Trivedi
Party Republican Democratic
Popular vote 133,770 100,493
Percentage 57.10% 42.90%

U.S. representative before election

Jim Gerlach
Republican

Elected U.S. representative

Jim Gerlach
Republican

Republican incumbent Jim Gerlach successfully ran for re-election. He defeated Democrat Iraq War veteran Manan Trivedi. In 2008, Obama carried this district with 58% of the vote.

Democratic primary

Nominee

Eliminated in primary

  • Doug Pike

Primary results

Democratic primary results[3]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Manan Trivedi 21,585 50.84
Democratic Doug Pike 20,871 49.16
Total votes 42,456 100.0

Republican primary

Nominee

Eliminated in primary

  • Patrick Henry Sellers

Primary results

Republican primary results[3]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Jim Gerlach (incumbent) 35,575 79.81
Republican Patrick Henry Sellers 8,998 20.19
Total votes 44,573 100.00

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[4] Likely R November 1, 2010
Rothenberg[5] Safe R November 1, 2010
Sabato's Crystal Ball[6] Likely R November 1, 2010
RCP[7] Safe R November 1, 2010
CQ Politics[8] Lean R October 28, 2010
New York Times[9] Safe R November 1, 2010
FiveThirtyEight[9] Lean R November 1, 2010

General election

Pennsylvania's 6th congressional district election, 2010
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Jim Gerlach (incumbent) 133,770 57.10
Democratic Manan Trivedi 100,493 42.90
Total votes 234,263 100.00

District 7

2010 Pennsylvania's 7th congressional district election

 
Nominee Pat Meehan Bryan Lentz
Party Republican Democratic
Popular vote 134,751 108,197
Percentage 54.86% 44.05%

U.S. representative before election

Joe Sestak
Democratic

Elected U.S. representative

Pat Meehan
Republican

Democratic incumbent Joe Sestak retired to run for the U.S. Senate. Democratic nominee State Representative Bryan Lentz faced Republican nominee U.S. Attorney Pat Meehan and American Constitution Party (independent) nominee Jim Schneller.

Democratic primary

Nominee

Primary results

Democratic primary results[3]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Bryan Lentz 39,206 100.00
Total votes 39,206 100.00

Republican primary

Nominee

Primary results

Republican primary results[3]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Pat Meehan 48,604 100.00
Total votes 48,604 100.00

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[4] Lean R (flip) November 1, 2010
Rothenberg[5] Tilt R (flip) November 1, 2010
Sabato's Crystal Ball[6] Lean R (flip) November 1, 2010
RCP[7] Tossup November 1, 2010
CQ Politics[8] Tossup October 28, 2010
New York Times[9] Lean R (flip) November 1, 2010
FiveThirtyEight[9] Lean R (flip) November 1, 2010

General election

Pennsylvania's 7th congressional district election, 2010
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Pat Meehan 134,751 54.86
Democratic Bryan Lentz 108,197 44.05
Independent Jim Schneller 2,670 1.09
Total votes 245,618 100.00

District 8

2010 Pennsylvania's 8th congressional district election

 
Nominee Mike Fitzpatrick Patrick Murphy
Party Republican Democratic
Popular vote 130,759 113,547
Percentage 53.52% 46.48%

U.S. representative before election

Patrick Murphy
Democratic

Elected U.S. representative

Mike Fitzpatrick
Republican

Democratic incumbent Patrick Murphy unsuccessfully ran for re-election. He was defeated by Republican former U.S. Congressman Mike Fitzpatrick. In 2008, Obama carried this district with 54% of the vote.

Democratic primary

Nominee

Primary results

Democratic primary results[3]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Patrick Murphy (incumbent) 40,783 100.00
Total votes 40,783 100.00

Republican primary

Nominee

Eliminated in primary

  • Gloria Carlineo
  • Ira Hoffman
  • James Jones

Primary results

Republican primary results[3]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Mike Fitzpatrick 33,671 76.75
Republican Gloria Carlineo 6,529 14.88
Republican Ira Hoffman 2,424 5.52
Republican James Jones 1,249 2.85
Total votes 43,873 100.00

Polling

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Patrick Murphy (D) Mike Fitzpatrick (R) Undecided
Franklin-Marshall[14] September 14–19, 2010 464 ± 4.6% 35% 49% 15%
Franklin-Marshall[14] October 14–19, 2010 464 ± 4.6% 40% 47% 5%
Franklin-Marshall[14] October 24–29, 2010 464 ± 4.6% 35% 55% 5%

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[4] Tossup November 1, 2010
Rothenberg[5] Tilt R (flip) November 1, 2010
Sabato's Crystal Ball[6] Lean R (flip) November 1, 2010
RCP[7] Tossup November 1, 2010
CQ Politics[8] Tossup October 28, 2010
New York Times[9] Tossup November 1, 2010
FiveThirtyEight[9] Lean R (flip) November 1, 2010

General election

Pennsylvania's 8th congressional district election, 2010
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Mike Fitzpatrick 130,759 53.52
Democratic Patrick Murphy (incumbent) 113,547 46.48
Total votes 244,306 100.00

District 9

2010 Pennsylvania's 9th congressional district election

 
Nominee Bill Shuster Tom Conners
Party Republican Democratic
Popular vote 141,904 52,322
Percentage 73.06% 26.94%

U.S. representative before election

Bill Shuster
Republican

Elected U.S. representative

Bill Shuster
Republican

Republican incumbent Bill Shuster successfully ran for re-election. He defeated Democrat Tom Conners and Independent Chad Clopper.

Republican primary

Nominee

Primary results

Republican primary results[3]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Bill Shuster (incumbent) 56,828 100.00
Total votes 56,828 100.00

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[4] Safe R November 1, 2010
Rothenberg[5] Safe R November 1, 2010
Sabato's Crystal Ball[6] Safe R November 1, 2010
RCP[7] Safe R November 1, 2010
CQ Politics[8] Safe R October 28, 2010
New York Times[9] Safe R November 1, 2010
FiveThirtyEight[9] Safe R November 1, 2010

General election

Pennsylvania's 9th congressional district election, 2010
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Bill Shuster 141,904 73.06
Democratic Tom Conners 52,322 26.94
Total votes 194,226 100.00

District 10

2010 Pennsylvania's 10th congressional district election

 
Nominee Tom Marino Chris Carney
Party Republican Democratic
Popular vote 110,599 89,846
Percentage 55.18% 44.82%

U.S. representative before election

Chris Carney
Democratic

Elected U.S. representative

Tom Marino
Republican

Democratic incumbent Chris Carney unsuccessfully ran for re-election, losing to Republican nominee U.S. Attorney Tom Marino. In 2008, McCain carried this district with 54% of the vote.

Democratic primary

Nominee

Primary results

Democratic primary results[3]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Chris Carney (incumbent) 38,928 100.00
Total votes 38,928 100.00

Republican primary

Nominee

Eliminated in primary

  • Malcolm Derk
  • David Madeira

Primary results

Republican primary results[3]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Tom Marino 24,435 40.96
Republican David Madeira 18,524 31.06
Republican Malcolm Derk 16,690 27.98
Total votes 59,649 100.00

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[4] Tossup November 1, 2010
Rothenberg[5] Tossup November 1, 2010
Sabato's Crystal Ball[6] Lean R (flip) November 1, 2010
RCP[7] Lean R (flip) November 1, 2010
CQ Politics[8] Tossup October 28, 2010
New York Times[9] Tossup November 1, 2010
FiveThirtyEight[9] Likely R (flip) November 1, 2010

General election

Pennsylvania's 10th congressional district election, 2010
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Tom Marino 110,599 55.18
Democratic Chris Carney (incumbent) 89,846 44.82
Total votes 200,445 100.00

District 11

2010 Pennsylvania's 11th congressional district election

 
Nominee Lou Barletta Paul Kanjorski
Party Republican Democratic
Popular vote 102,179 84,618
Percentage 54.70% 45.30%

U.S. representative before election

Paul Kanjorski
Democratic

Elected U.S. representative

Lou Barletta
Republican

Democratic incumbent Paul E. Kanjorski unsuccessfully ran for re-election, losing to Republican Hazleton Mayor Lou Barletta.[15] In 2008, Obama carried this district with 57% of the vote.

Kanjorski faced Corey O'Brien and Brian Kelly in the May 2010 Democratic primary, and won with 49.3% of the primary vote.

Democratic primary

Nominee

Eliminated in primary

Primary results

Democratic primary results[3]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Paul Kanjorski (incumbent) 33,900 49.36
Democratic Corey O'Brien 23,267 33.87
Democratic Brian Kelly 11,519 16.77
Total votes 68,686 100.00

Republican primary

Nominee

Primary results

Republican primary results[3]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Lou Barletta 28,397 100.00
Total votes 28,397 100.00

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[4] Tossup November 1, 2010
Rothenberg[5] Tilt R (flip) November 1, 2010
Sabato's Crystal Ball[6] Lean R (flip) November 1, 2010
RCP[7] Tossup November 1, 2010
CQ Politics[8] Lean R (flip) October 28, 2010
New York Times[9] Lean R (flip) November 1, 2010
FiveThirtyEight[9] Tossup November 1, 2010

General election

Pennsylvania's 11th congressional district election, 2010
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Lou Barletta 102,179 54.70
Democratic Paul Kanjorski (incumbent) 84,618 45.30
Total votes 186,797 100.00

District 12

2010 Pennsylvania's 12th congressional district election

 
Nominee Mark Critz Tim Burns
Party Democratic Republican
Popular vote 94,056 91,170
Percentage 50.78% 49.22%

U.S. representative before election

Mark Critz
Democratic

Elected U.S. representative

Mark Critz
Democratic

Democrat Mark Critz won a May 2010 special election to replace John Murtha, who served the district for 36 years. He faced Republican businessman Tim Burns. Critz again defeated Burns in the regularly scheduled November general election. In 2008, McCain carried this district with 49% of the vote.

Special election

Pennsylvania's 12th congressional district special election, 2010
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Mark Critz 72,218 52.64
Republican Tim Burns 61,722 44.99
Libertarian Demo Agoris 3,249 2.37
Total votes 137,189 100.00

Democratic primary

Nominee

Eliminated in primary

Primary results

Democratic primary results[3]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Mark Critz (incumbent) 58,817 71.46
Democratic Ryan Bucchianeri 16,965 20.61
Democratic Ronald Mackell 6,525 7.93
Total votes 82,307 100.00

Republican primary

Nominee

  • Tim Burns, businessman and Republican nominee in the special election

Eliminated in primary

  • William Russell, 2008 Republican nominee

Primary results

Republican primary results[3]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Tim Burns 26,577 56.96
Republican William Russell 20,078 43.04
Total votes 46,655 100.00

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[4] Lean D November 1, 2010
Rothenberg[5] Tossup November 1, 2010
Sabato's Crystal Ball[6] Lean D November 1, 2010
RCP[7] Tossup November 1, 2010
CQ Politics[8] Lean D October 28, 2010
New York Times[9] Lean D November 1, 2010
FiveThirtyEight[9] Lean D November 1, 2010

General election

Pennsylvania's 12th congressional district election, 2010
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Mark Critz (incumbent) 94,056 50.78
Republican Tim Burns 91,170 49.22
Total votes 185,226 100.00

District 13

2010 Pennsylvania's 13th congressional district election

 
Nominee Allyson Schwartz Dee Adcock
Party Democratic Republican
Popular vote 118,710 91,987
Percentage 56.34% 43.66%

U.S. representative before election

Allyson Schwartz
Democratic

Elected U.S. representative

Allyson Schwartz
Democratic

Democratic incumbent Allyson Schwartz successfully ran for re-election. She defeated Republican Dee Adcock. Obama carried this district with 59% of the vote.

Democratic primary

Nominee

Primary results

Democratic primary results[3]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Allyson Schwartz (incumbent) 44,402 100.00
Total votes 44,402 100.00

Republican primary

Nominee

  • Dee Adcock

Eliminated in primary

  • Brian Haughton
  • Joshua Quinter

Primary results

Republican primary results[3]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Dee Adcock 14,416 47.98
Republican Joshua Quinter 8,334 27.74
Republican Brian Haughton 7,293 24.28
Total votes 30,043 100.00

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[4] Safe D November 1, 2010
Rothenberg[5] Safe D November 1, 2010
Sabato's Crystal Ball[6] Safe D November 1, 2010
RCP[7] Likely D November 1, 2010
CQ Politics[8] Safe D October 28, 2010
New York Times[9] Safe D November 1, 2010
FiveThirtyEight[9] Safe D November 1, 2010

General election

Pennsylvania's 13th congressional district election, 2010
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Allyson Schwartz (incumbent) 118,710 56.34
Republican Dee Adcock 91,987 43.66
Total votes 210,697 100.00

District 14

2010 Pennsylvania's 14th congressional district election

 
Nominee Mike Doyle Melissa Haluszczak
Party Democratic Republican
Popular vote 122,073 49,997
Percentage 68.8% 28.2%

U.S. representative before election

Mike Doyle
Democratic

Elected U.S. representative

Mike Doyle
Democratic

Democratic incumbent Mike Doyle successfully ran for re-election. He defeated Republican Melissa Haluszczak and Green Party nominee Ed Bortz. In 2008, Doyle received 91% of the vote and Obama carried this district with 70% of the vote.

Democratic primary

Nominee

Primary results

Democratic primary results[3]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Mike Doyle (incumbent) 71,511 100.00
Total votes 71,511 100.00

Republican primary

Nominee

  • Melissa Haluszczak

Primary results

Republican primary results[3]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Melissa Haluszczak 11,585 100.00
Total votes 11,585 100.00

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[4] Safe D November 1, 2010
Rothenberg[5] Safe D November 1, 2010
Sabato's Crystal Ball[6] Safe D November 1, 2010
RCP[7] Safe D November 1, 2010
CQ Politics[8] Safe D October 28, 2010
New York Times[9] Safe D November 1, 2010
FiveThirtyEight[9] Safe D November 1, 2010

General election

Pennsylvania's 14th congressional district election, 2010
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Mike Doyle (incumbent) 122,073 68.79
Republican Melissa Haluszczak 49,997 28.17
Green Ed Bortz 5,400 3.04
Total votes 177,470 100.00

District 15

2010 Pennsylvania's 15th congressional district election

 
Nominee Charlie Dent John B. Callahan Jake Towne
Party Republican Democratic Independent
Popular vote 109,534 79,766 15,248
Percentage 53.55% 39.00% 7.45%

U.S. Representative before election

Charlie Dent
Republican

Elected U.S. Representative

Charlie Dent
Republican

Republican incumbent Charlie Dent successfully ran for re-election. He defeated Democrat Bethlehem Mayor John B. Callahan and Independent Jake Towne. In 2008, Obama carried this district with 56% of the vote.

Democratic primary

Nominee

Primary results

Democratic primary results[3]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic John B. Callahan 32,825 100.00
Total votes 32,825 100.00

Republican primary

Nominee

Eliminated in primary

  • Mat Benol

Primary results

Republican primary results[3]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Charlie Dent (incumbent) 31,618 82.92
Republican Mat Benol 6,514 17.08
Total votes 38,132 100.00

Polling

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
John Callahan (D) Charlie Dent (R) Jake Towne (I) Undecided
Morning Call/Muhlenberg[16] September 11–15, 2010 496 ± 5.0% 38% 49% 3% 10%

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[4] Likely R November 1, 2010
Rothenberg[5] Likely R November 1, 2010
Sabato's Crystal Ball[6] Lean R November 1, 2010
RCP[7] Likely R November 1, 2010
CQ Politics[8] Lean R October 28, 2010
New York Times[9] Lean R November 1, 2010
FiveThirtyEight[9] Safe R November 1, 2010

General election

Pennsylvania's 15th congressional district election, 2010
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Charlie Dent (incumbent) 109,534 53.55
Democratic John B. Callahan 79,766 39.00
Independent Jake Towne 15,248 7.45
Total votes 204,548 100.00

District 16

2010 Pennsylvania's 16th congressional district election

 
Nominee Joe Pitts Lois Herr
Party Republican Democratic
Popular vote 134,113 70,994
Percentage 65.39% 34.61%

U.S. representative before election

Joe Pitts
Republican

Elected U.S. representative

Joe Pitts
Republican

Republican incumbent Joe Pitts successfully ran for re-election. He again defeated Democratic nominee Lois Herr. In 2008, McCain carried the district with 51% of the vote.

Democratic primary

Nominee

Primary results

Democratic primary results[3]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Lois Herr 24,541 100.00
Total votes 24,541 100.00

Republican primary

Nominee

Primary results

Republican primary results[3]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Joe Pitts (incumbent) 50,629 100.00
Total votes 50,629 100.00

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[4] Safe R November 1, 2010
Rothenberg[5] Safe R November 1, 2010
Sabato's Crystal Ball[6] Safe R November 1, 2010
RCP[7] Safe R November 1, 2010
CQ Politics[8] Safe R October 28, 2010
New York Times[9] Safe R November 1, 2010
FiveThirtyEight[9] Safe R November 1, 2010

General election

Pennsylvania's 16th congressional district election, 2010
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Joe Pitts (incumbent) 134,113 65.39
Democratic Lois Herr 70,994 34.61
Total votes 205,107 100.00

District 17

2010 Pennsylvania's 17th congressional district election

 
Nominee Tim Holden Dave Argall
Party Democratic Republican
Popular vote 118,486 95,000
Percentage 55.50% 44.50%

U.S. representative before election

Tim Holden
Democratic

Elected U.S. representative

Tim Holden
Democratic

Democratic incumbent Tim Holden successfully ran for re-election. He defeated Republican State Senator Dave Argall. In 2008, McCain carried this district with 51% of the vote.

Democratic primary

Nominee

Eliminated in primary

  • Sheila Dow-Ford

Primary results

Democratic primary results[3]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Tim Holden (incumbent) 30,630 65.27
Democratic Sheila Dow-Ford 16,296 34.73
Total votes 46,926 100.00

Republican primary

Nominee

Eliminated in primary

  • Josh First
  • Allen Griffith
  • Frank Ryan

Primary results

Republican primary results[3]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Dave Argall 20,712 32.33
Republican Frank Ryan 19,890 31.05
Republican Josh First 14,955 23.35
Republican Allen Griffith 8,503 13.27
Total votes 64,060 100.00

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[4] Likely D November 1, 2010
Rothenberg[5] Safe D November 1, 2010
Sabato's Crystal Ball[6] Likely D November 1, 2010
RCP[7] Likely D November 1, 2010
CQ Politics[8] Likely D October 28, 2010
New York Times[9] Lean D November 1, 2010
FiveThirtyEight[9] Safe D November 1, 2010

General election

Pennsylvania's 17th congressional district election, 2010
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Tim Holden (incumbent) 118,486 55.50
Republican Dave Argall 95,000 44.50
Total votes 213,486 100.00

District 18

2010 Pennsylvania's 18th congressional district election

 
Nominee Tim Murphy Dan Connolly
Party Republican Democratic
Popular vote 161,888 78,558
Percentage 67.33% 32.67%

U.S. representative before election

Tim Murphy
Republican

Elected U.S. representative

Tim Murphy
Republican

Republican incumbent Tim Murphy successfully ran for re-election. He defeated Democrat Dan Connolly. In 2008, McCain carried this district with 55% of the vote.

Democratic primary

Nominee

  • Dan Connolly

Primary results

Democratic primary results[3]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Dan Connolly 58,081 100.00
Total votes 58,081 100.00

Republican primary

Nominee

Primary results

Republican primary results[3]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Tim Murphy (incumbent) 47,785 100.00
Total votes 47,785 100.00

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[4] Safe R November 1, 2010
Rothenberg[5] Safe R November 1, 2010
Sabato's Crystal Ball[6] Safe R November 1, 2010
RCP[7] Safe R November 1, 2010
CQ Politics[8] Safe R October 28, 2010
New York Times[9] Safe R November 1, 2010
FiveThirtyEight[9] Safe R November 1, 2010

General election

Pennsylvania's 18th congressional district election, 2010
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Tim Murphy (incumbent) 161,888 67.33
Democratic Dan Connolly 78,558 32.67
Total votes 240,446 100.00

District 19

2010 Pennsylvania's 19th congressional district election

 
Nominee Todd Platts Ryan Sanders
Party Republican Democratic
Popular vote 165,219 53,549
Percentage 71.91% 23.31%

U.S. representative before election

Todd Platts
Republican

Elected U.S. representative

Todd Platts
Republican

Republican incumbent Todd Platts successfully ran for re-election. He defeated Democrat Ryan Sanders and Independence Party nominee Joshua Monighan.[17][18] In 2008, McCain carried this district with 56% of the vote.

Democratic primary

Nominee

  • Ryan Sanders

Primary results

Democratic primary results[3]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Ryan Sanders 33,283 100.00
Total votes 33,283 100.00

Republican primary

Nominee

Eliminated in primary

  • Michael Smeltzer

Primary results

Republican primary results[3]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Todd Platts (incumbent) 51,792 69.99
Republican Michael Smeltzer 22,210 30.01
Total votes 74,002 100.00

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[4] Safe R November 1, 2010
Rothenberg[5] Safe R November 1, 2010
Sabato's Crystal Ball[6] Safe R November 1, 2010
RCP[7] Safe R November 1, 2010
CQ Politics[8] Safe R October 28, 2010
New York Times[9] Safe R November 1, 2010
FiveThirtyEight[9] Safe R November 1, 2010

General election

Pennsylvania's 19th congressional district election, 2010
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Todd Platts (incumbent) 165,219 71.91
Democratic Ryan Sanders 53,549 23.31
Independence Party of America Joshua Monighan 10,988 4.78
Total votes 229,756 100.00

References

  1. ^ Office of the Clerk of the U.S. House of Representatives
  2. ^ Haas, Karen L. (June 3, 2011). "Statistics of the Congressional Election of November 2, 2010". Clerk of the U.S. House of Representatives. Retrieved November 12, 2019.
  3. ^ a b c d e f g h i j k l m n o p q r s t u v w x y z aa ab ac ad ae af ag ah ai aj "Pennsylvania Elections - 2010 General Primary (Official Returns)". Pennsylvania Department of State. Retrieved August 10, 2025.
  4. ^ a b c d e f g h i j k l m n o p q r s "The Cook Political Report – Charts – 2010 House Competitive Races". The Cook Political Report. November 1, 2010. Archived from the original on November 4, 2010. Retrieved November 1, 2010.
  5. ^ a b c d e f g h i j k l m n o p q r s Rothenberg Political Report (November 1, 2010). "House Ratings". Rothenbergpoliticalreport.com. Archived from the original on November 1, 2010. Retrieved November 1, 2010.
  6. ^ a b c d e f g h i j k l m n o p q r s Crystal Ball, as of November 1, 2010
  7. ^ a b c d e f g h i j k l m n o p q r s RealClearPolitics, as of November 1, 2010
  8. ^ a b c d e f g h i j k l m n o p q r s "2010 House Ratings Chart". CQ Politics. Archived from the original on October 28, 2010. Retrieved November 1, 2010.
  9. ^ a b c d e f g h i j k l m n o p q r s t u v w x y z aa ab ac ad ae af ag ah ai aj ak al "House Race Ratings". nytimes.com. The New York Times. Archived from the original on November 7, 2010. Retrieved October 9, 2023.
  10. ^ a b c "2010 General Election - Representative in Congress". Commonwealth of PA - Elections Information. Pennsylvania Department of State. 2010. Retrieved May 18, 2013.
  11. ^ The Hill/ANG Alliance
  12. ^ Franklin-Marshall
  13. ^ The Polling Company
  14. ^ a b c Franklin-Marshall
  15. ^ Kanjorski wins easily; eyes Barletta rematch Archived 2012-03-08 at the Wayback Machine, The Times Leader, Wilkes-Barre, PA, Timesleader.com. Retrieved on 2010-07-12.
  16. ^ Morning Call/Muhlenberg Archived 2011-09-27 at the Wayback Machine
  17. ^ "Pennsylvania Primary Results". Fox News. Archived from the original on May 23, 2010.
  18. ^ "Congressional, Presidential and Political News, Blogs, Member Profiles". CQ Politics. Archived from the original on February 24, 2009. Retrieved August 21, 2010.