Kesbewa Polling Division

Kesbewa
Polling Division
Location of Kesbewa
Coordinates: 6°48′53″N 79°55′36″E / 6.814773°N 79.926797°E / 6.814773; 79.926797
CountrySri Lanka
ProvinceWestern Province, Sri Lanka
Electoral DistrictColombo Electoral District
Area
 • Total
66.25 km2 (25.58 sq mi)
Population
 (2012)[1]
 • Total
245,232
 • Density3,702/km2 (9,590/sq mi)
ISO 3166 codeEC-01N

The Kesbewa Polling Division is a Polling Division in the Colombo Electoral District, in the Western Province, Sri Lanka.

Presidential Election Results

Summary

The winner of Kesbewa has matched the final country result 5 out of 8 times. Hence, Kesbewa is a Weak Bellwether for Presidential Elections.

Year Kesbewa Colombo Electoral District MAE[2] % Sri Lanka MAE[3] %
2019 SLPP SLPP 14.04% SLPP 15.02%
2015 UPFA NDF 10.99% NDF 6.57%
2010 UPFA UPFA 11.90% UPFA 6.65%
2005 UPFA UNP 12.69% UPFA 10.17%
1999 PA PA 8.03% PA 6.50%
1994 PA PA 5.07% PA 7.48%
1988 SLFP UNP 8.72% UNP 9.93%
1982 SLFP UNP 10.98% UNP 7.13%
Matches/Mean MAE 5/8 7/8 10.30% 8/8 8.68%

2019 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

Party Kesbewa[4] Colombo Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
SLPP 99,062 67.68% 727,713 53.19% 6,924,255 52.25%
NDF 37,430 25.57% 559,921 40.92% 5,564,239 41.99%
NMPP 7,343 5.02% 53,803 3.93% 418,553 3.16%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 2,525 1.73% 26,740 1.95% 345,452 2.61%
Valid Votes 146,360 99.02% 1,368,177 98.89% 13,252,499 98.99%
Rejected Votes 1,444 0.98% 15,333 1.11% 135,452 1.01%
Total Polled 147,804 84.54% 1,383,510 82.82% 13,387,951 83.71%
Registered Electors 174,829 1,670,403 15,992,568

2015 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

Party Kesbewa[5] Colombo Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UPFA 74,189 54.56% 562,614 43.40% 5,768,090 47.58%
NDF 61,116 44.94% 725,073 55.93% 6,217,162 51.28%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 678 0.50% 8,673 0.67% 138,200 1.14%
Valid Votes 135,983 98.99% 1,296,360 98.83% 12,123,452 98.85%
Rejected Votes 1,393 1.01% 15,334 1.17% 140,925 1.15%
Total Polled 137,376 83.37% 1,311,694 81.34% 12,264,377 78.69%
Registered Electors 164,774 1,612,660 15,585,942

2010 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

Party Kesbewa[6] Colombo Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UPFA 77,474 65.10% 614,740 52.93% 6,015,934 57.88%
NDF 40,474 34.01% 533,022 45.90% 4,173,185 40.15%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 1,058 0.89% 13,620 1.17% 204,494 1.97%
Valid Votes 119,006 99.33% 1,161,382 99.03% 10,393,613 99.03%
Rejected Votes 803 0.67% 11,394 0.97% 101,838 0.97%
Total Polled 119,809 80.57% 1,172,776 76.09% 10,495,451 66.70%
Registered Electors 148,696 1,541,242 15,734,587

2005 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

Party Kesbewa[7] Colombo Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UPFA 66,660 60.82% 534,431 47.96% 4,887,152 50.29%
UNP 42,042 38.36% 569,627 51.12% 4,706,366 48.43%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 900 0.82% 10,192 0.91% 123,521 1.27%
Valid Votes 109,602 99.00% 1,114,250 98.86% 9,717,039 98.88%
Rejected Votes 1,110 1.00% 12,879 1.14% 109,869 1.12%
Total Polled 110,712 79.03% 1,127,129 75.85% 9,826,908 69.51%
Registered Electors 140,094 1,486,021 14,136,979

1999 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

Party Kesbewa[8] Colombo Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
PA 51,240 57.17% 474,310 49.18% 4,312,157 51.12%
UNP 31,302 34.93% 425,185 44.08% 3,602,748 42.71%
JVP 5,236 5.84% 44,009 4.56% 343,927 4.08%
SMBP 940 1.05% 8,209 0.85% 35,854 0.43%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 905 1.01% 12,821 1.33% 140,825 1.67%
Valid Votes 89,623 96.80% 964,534 97.06% 8,435,754 97.69%
Rejected Votes 2,967 3.20% 29,197 2.94% 199,536 2.31%
Total Polled 92,590 76.00% 993,731 73.39% 8,635,290 72.17%
Registered Electors 121,836 1,354,025 11,965,536

1994 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

Party Kesbewa[9] Colombo Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
PA 54,327 70.03% 557,708 64.82% 4,709,205 62.28%
UNP 22,130 28.53% 288,741 33.56% 2,715,283 35.91%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 1,121 1.44% 13,937 1.62% 137,040 1.81%
Valid Votes 77,578 98.53% 860,386 98.17% 7,561,526 98.03%
Rejected Votes 1,159 1.47% 16,060 1.83% 151,706 1.97%
Total Polled 78,737 70.97% 876,446 69.59% 7,713,232 69.12%
Registered Electors 110,948 1,259,484 11,158,880

1988 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

Party Kesbewa[10] Colombo Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
SLFP 35,184 55.88% 339,958 46.23% 2,289,857 44.95%
UNP 25,549 40.58% 361,337 49.14% 2,569,199 50.43%
SLMP 2,228 3.54% 34,020 4.63% 235,701 4.63%
Valid Votes 62,961 98.62% 735,315 98.49% 5,094,754 98.24%
Rejected Votes 879 1.38% 11,295 1.51% 91,499 1.76%
Total Polled 63,840 71.51% 746,610 67.53% 5,186,256 55.87%
Registered Electors 89,277 1,105,583 9,283,143

1982 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

Party Kesbewa[11] Colombo Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
SLFP 26,553 47.92% 274,476 36.40% 2,546,348 39.05%
UNP 25,576 46.16% 436,290 57.86% 3,450,815 52.93%
JVP 2,248 4.06% 28,580 3.79% 273,428 4.19%
LSSP 851 1.54% 9,655 1.28% 58,531 0.90%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 179 0.32% 5,030 0.67% 190,929 2.93%
Valid Votes 55,407 99.05% 754,031 98.95% 6,520,156 98.78%
Rejected Votes 530 0.95% 7,990 1.05% 80,470 1.22%
Total Polled 55,937 78.78% 762,021 76.88% 6,600,626 80.15%
Registered Electors 71,002 991,194 8,235,358

Parliamentary Election Results

Summary

The winner of Kesbewa has matched the final country result 6 out of 7 times. Hence, Kesbewa is a Strong Bellwether for Parliamentary Elections.

Year Kesbewa Colombo Electoral District MAE[12] % Sri Lanka MAE[13] %
2015 UPFA UNP 12.30% UNP 7.02%
2010 UPFA UPFA 10.91% UPFA 3.71%
2004 UPFA UNP 10.88% UPFA 6.46%
2001 UNP UNP 6.84% UNP 2.54%
2000 PA UNP 5.35% PA 2.08%
1994 PA PA 6.90% PA 8.80%
1989 UNP UNP 7.81% UNP 6.32%
Matches/Mean MAE 6/7 5/7 8.71% 7/7 5.28%

2020 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

Party Kesbewa[14] Colombo Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
SLPFA 89,240 70.77% 674,603 57.04% 6,853,693 59.09%
SJB 23,687 18.78% 387,145 32.73% 2,771,984 23.9%
JJB 9,160 7.26% 67,600 5.72% 445,958 3.84%
UNP 2,098 1.66% 30,875 2.61% 249,435 2.15%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 1,918 1.53% 22,553 1.9% 1,227,859 11.02%
Valid Votes 126,103 70.34% 1,182,776 69.2% 11,598,936 71.32%
Rejected Votes 6,760 3.77% 81,034 4.74% 744,373 4.58%
Total Polled 132,863 74.11% 1,263,810 73.94% 12,343,309 75.89%
Registered Electors 179,289 1,709,209 16,263,885

2015 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

Party Kesbewa[15] Colombo Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UPFA 65,243 51.30% 474,063 39.25% 4,732,664 42.48%
UNP 49,637 39.03% 640,743 53.04% 5,098,916 45.77%
JVP 11,193 8.80% 81,391 6.74% 544,154 4.88%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 1,110 0.87% 11,752 0.97% 93,045 0.84%
Valid Votes 127,183 97.32% 1,207,949 96.46% 11,140,333 95.35%
Rejected Votes 3,452 2.64% 43,372 3.46% 516,926 4.42%
Total Polled 130,692 79.32% 1,252,271 78.93% 11,684,111 77.66%
Registered Electors 164,774 1,586,598 15,044,490

2010 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

Party Kesbewa[16] Colombo Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UPFA 60,139 62.57% 480,896 51.23% 4,846,388 60.38%
UNP 21,953 22.84% 339,750 36.19% 2,357,057 29.37%
DNA 13,532 14.08% 110,683 11.79% 441,251 5.50%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 493 0.51% 7,292 0.78% 48,240 0.60%
Valid Votes 96,117 95.79% 938,723 94.85% 8,026,322 96.03%
Rejected Votes 4,160 4.15% 50,354 5.09% 581,465 6.96%
Total Polled 100,339 67.48% 989,729 64.17% 8,358,246 59.29%
Registered Electors 148,696 1,542,457 14,097,690

2004 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

Party Kesbewa[17] Colombo Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UPFA 45,939 44.63% 414,688 39.20% 4,223,126 45.70%
JHU 29,850 29.00% 190,618 18.02% 552,723 5.98%
UNP 26,302 25.55% 441,841 41.77% 3,486,792 37.73%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 846 0.82% 10,713 1.01% 90,868 0.98%
Valid Votes 102,937 97.32% 1,057,860 96.47% 9,241,931 94.52%
Rejected Votes 2,831 2.68% 38,605 3.52% 534,452 5.47%
Total Polled 105,773 77.05% 1,096,571 74.71% 9,777,821 75.74%
Registered Electors 137,285 1,467,751 12,909,631

2001 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

Party Kesbewa[18] Colombo Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UNP 42,260 42.54% 546,417 51.62% 4,086,026 45.62%
PA 37,815 38.07% 353,401 33.39% 3,330,815 37.19%
JVP 16,045 16.15% 117,404 11.09% 815,353 9.10%
SU 2,170 2.18% 16,970 1.60% 50,665 0.57%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 1,049 1.06% 24,289 2.29% 510,616 5.70%
Valid Votes 99,339 96.73% 1,058,481 96.28% 8,955,844 94.77%
Rejected Votes 3,356 3.27% 40,901 3.72% 494,009 5.23%
Total Polled 102,695 78.05% 1,099,382 76.31% 9,449,878 76.03%
Registered Electors 131,571 1,440,682 12,428,762

2000 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

Party Kesbewa[19] Colombo Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
PA 41,977 44.40% 394,146 38.86% 3,899,329 45.33%
UNP 34,978 37.00% 440,684 43.45% 3,451,765 40.12%
JVP 10,219 10.81% 78,133 7.70% 518,725 6.03%
SU 6,211 6.57% 49,671 4.90% 127,859 1.49%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 1,148 1.21% 51,586 5.09% 375,083 4.36%
Valid Votes 94,533 N/A 1,014,220 N/A 8,602,617 N/A

1994 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

Party Kesbewa[20] Colombo Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
PA 49,342 59.16% 469,642 50.94% 3,887,805 48.94%
UNP 29,585 35.47% 385,100 41.77% 3,498,370 44.04%
MEP 2,709 3.25% 42,734 4.64% 68,538 0.86%
SLPF 1,418 1.70% 11,454 1.24% 90,078 1.13%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 349 0.42% 13,003 1.41% 51,995 0.65%
Valid Votes 83,403 96.60% 921,933 96.18% 7,943,688 95.20%
Rejected Votes 2,932 3.40% 36,635 3.82% 400,395 4.80%
Total Polled 86,335 77.82% 958,568 76.04% 8,344,095 74.75%
Registered Electors 110,948 1,260,686 11,163,064

1989 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

Party Kesbewa[21] Colombo Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UNP 27,415 45.83% 374,530 51.67% 2,838,005 50.71%
SLFP 25,830 43.18% 205,053 28.29% 1,785,369 31.90%
MEP 4,351 7.27% 76,966 10.62% 90,480 1.62%
USA 1,890 3.16% 31,873 4.40% 141,983 2.54%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 339 0.57% 36,420 5.02% 269,739 4.82%
Valid Votes 59,825 95.67% 724,842 95.36% 5,596,468 93.87%
Rejected Votes 2,710 4.33% 35,271 4.64% 365,563 6.13%
Total Polled 62,535 71.38% 760,113 69.87% 5,962,031 63.60%
Registered Electors 87,609 1,087,891 9,374,164

Demographics

Ethnicity

The Kesbewa Polling Division has a Sinhalese majority (97.3%) . In comparison, the Colombo Electoral District (which contains the Kesbewa Polling Division) has a Sinhalese majority (76.5%), a significant Moor population (10.7%) and a significant Sri Lankan Tamil population (10.1%) [1]

Ethnicity in Kesbewa[1]
  1. Sinhalese (97.3%)
  2. Other (1.60%)
  3. Sri Lankan Tamil (1.10%)

Religion

The Kesbewa Polling Division has a Buddhist majority (93.0%) . In comparison, the Colombo Electoral District (which contains the Kesbewa Polling Division) has a Buddhist majority (70.2%) and a significant Muslim population (11.8%) [1]

Religion in Kesbewa[1]
  1. Buddhist (93.0%)
  2. Roman Catholic (3.40%)
  3. Other (1.80%)
  4. Other Christian (1.70%)

References

  1. ^ a b c d e "Census of Population and Housing 2012". statistics.gov.lk. Department of Census and Statistics, Sri Lanka. 2012.
  2. ^ The mean absolute error, between the percentages of votes each party got in Kesbewa and the Colombo Electoral District. It is a measure of the difference in voting behaviour between the two regions.
  3. ^ The mean absolute error, between the percentages of votes each party got in Kesbewa and the country. It is a measure of the difference in voting behaviour between the two regions.
  4. ^ "2019 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2019. Archived from the original on 2019-12-19. Retrieved 2020-06-10.
  5. ^ "2015 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2015. Archived from the original on 2019-12-19. Retrieved 2020-06-10.
  6. ^ "2010 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2010. Archived from the original on 2019-12-19. Retrieved 2020-06-10.
  7. ^ "2005 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2005. Archived from the original on 2019-12-19. Retrieved 2020-06-10.
  8. ^ "1999 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 1999. Archived from the original on 2019-12-19. Retrieved 2020-06-10.
  9. ^ "1994 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 1994. Archived from the original on 2019-12-19. Retrieved 2020-06-10.
  10. ^ "1988 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 1988. Archived from the original on 2019-12-19. Retrieved 2020-06-10.
  11. ^ "1982 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 1982. Archived from the original on 2019-12-19. Retrieved 2020-06-10.
  12. ^ The mean absolute error, between the percentages of votes each party got in Kesbewa and the Colombo Electoral District. It is a measure of the difference in voting behaviour between the two regions.
  13. ^ The mean absolute error, between the percentages of votes each party got in Kesbewa and the country. It is a measure of the difference in voting behaviour between the two regions.
  14. ^ "2020 Sri Lankan parliamentary election Results" (PDF). elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2020.
  15. ^ "2015 Sri Lankan parliamentary election Results" (PDF). elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2015.
  16. ^ "2010 Sri Lankan parliamentary election Results" (PDF). elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2010.
  17. ^ "2004 Sri Lankan parliamentary election Results" (PDF). elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2004.
  18. ^ "2001 Sri Lankan parliamentary election Results" (PDF). elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2001.
  19. ^ "2000 Sri Lankan parliamentary election Results" (PDF). elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2000.
  20. ^ "1994 Sri Lankan parliamentary election Results" (PDF). elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 1994.
  21. ^ "1989 Sri Lankan parliamentary election Results" (PDF). elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 1989.
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