Deraniyagala Polling Division

Deraniyagala
Polling Division
Coordinates: 6°55′05″N 80°20′34″E / 6.918035°N 80.342670°E / 6.918035; 80.342670
CountrySri Lanka
ProvinceSabaragamuwa Province, Sri Lanka
Electoral DistrictKegalle Electoral District
Area
 • Total
429.19 km2 (165.71 sq mi)
Population
 (2012)[1]
 • Total
127,184
 • Density296/km2 (770/sq mi)
ISO 3166 codeEC-22I

The Deraniyagala Polling Division is a Polling Division in the Kegalle Electoral District, in the Sabaragamuwa Province, Sri Lanka.

Presidential Election Results

Summary

The winner of Deraniyagala has matched the final country result 7 out of 8 times. Hence, Deraniyagala is a Strong Bellwether for Presidential Elections.

Year Deraniyagala Kegalle Electoral District MAE[2] % Sri Lanka MAE[3] %
2019 SLPP SLPP 1.35% SLPP 1.50%
2015 UPFA UPFA 2.37% NDF 6.57%
2010 UPFA UPFA 0.36% UPFA 4.00%
2005 UPFA UPFA 1.05% UPFA 0.31%
1999 PA PA 3.10% PA 3.15%
1994 PA PA 5.99% PA 12.16%
1988 UNP UNP 3.03% UNP 8.40%
1982 UNP UNP 0.63% UNP 3.71%
Matches/Mean MAE 7/8 7/8 2.23% 8/8 4.98%

2019 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

Party Deraniyagala[4] Kegalle Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
SLPP 31,392 54.30% 320,484 55.66% 6,924,255 52.25%
NDF 23,733 41.05% 228,032 39.60% 5,564,239 41.99%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 1,570 2.72% 12,272 2.13% 345,452 2.61%
NMPP 1,116 1.93% 15,043 2.61% 418,553 3.16%
Valid Votes 57,811 99.19% 575,831 99.11% 13,252,499 98.99%
Rejected Votes 471 0.81% 5,152 0.89% 135,452 1.01%
Total Polled 58,282 86.44% 580,983 85.89% 13,387,951 83.71%
Registered Electors 67,424 676,440 15,992,568

2015 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

Party Deraniyagala[5] Kegalle Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UPFA 28,741 54.05% 278,130 51.82% 5,768,090 47.58%
NDF 23,648 44.47% 252,533 47.05% 6,217,162 51.28%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 783 1.47% 6,108 1.14% 138,200 1.14%
Valid Votes 53,172 98.67% 536,771 98.80% 12,123,452 98.85%
Rejected Votes 717 1.33% 6,515 1.20% 140,925 1.15%
Total Polled 53,889 80.91% 543,286 79.85% 12,264,377 78.69%
Registered Electors 66,607 680,414 15,585,942

2010 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

Party Deraniyagala[6] Kegalle Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UPFA 28,460 61.68% 296,639 61.80% 6,015,934 57.88%
NDF 16,461 35.67% 174,877 36.44% 4,173,185 40.15%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 1,224 2.65% 8,448 1.76% 204,494 1.97%
Valid Votes 46,145 99.14% 479,964 99.25% 10,393,613 99.03%
Rejected Votes 398 0.86% 3,604 0.75% 101,838 0.97%
Total Polled 46,543 75.67% 483,568 76.11% 10,495,451 66.70%
Registered Electors 61,507 635,342 15,734,587

2005 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

Party Deraniyagala[7] Kegalle Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UPFA 22,653 49.71% 239,184 51.02% 4,887,152 50.29%
UNP 22,087 48.47% 223,483 47.67% 4,706,366 48.43%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 833 1.83% 6,106 1.30% 123,521 1.27%
Valid Votes 45,573 98.86% 468,773 98.99% 9,717,039 98.88%
Rejected Votes 526 1.14% 4,795 1.01% 109,869 1.12%
Total Polled 46,099 79.26% 473,568 78.68% 9,826,908 69.51%
Registered Electors 58,163 601,872 14,136,979

1999 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

Party Deraniyagala[8] Kegalle Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
PA 19,771 48.16% 210,185 51.30% 4,312,157 51.12%
UNP 19,062 46.43% 176,376 43.05% 3,602,748 42.71%
JVP 1,202 2.93% 14,997 3.66% 343,927 4.08%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 1,021 2.49% 8,122 1.98% 176,679 2.09%
Valid Votes 41,056 98.09% 409,680 98.05% 8,435,754 97.69%
Rejected Votes 801 1.91% 8,136 1.95% 199,536 2.31%
Total Polled 41,857 76.88% 417,816 76.52% 8,635,290 72.17%
Registered Electors 54,448 546,038 11,965,536

1994 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

Party Deraniyagala[9] Kegalle Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
PA 18,793 49.85% 211,676 56.06% 4,709,205 62.28%
UNP 18,179 48.22% 159,707 42.30% 2,715,283 35.91%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 728 1.93% 6,209 1.64% 137,040 1.81%
Valid Votes 37,700 97.63% 377,592 98.14% 7,561,526 98.03%
Rejected Votes 915 2.37% 7,139 1.86% 151,706 1.97%
Total Polled 38,615 73.25% 384,731 74.84% 7,713,232 69.12%
Registered Electors 52,714 514,055 11,158,880

1988 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

Party Deraniyagala[10] Kegalle Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UNP 17,649 60.33% 168,720 57.11% 2,569,199 50.43%
SLFP 11,008 37.63% 119,769 40.54% 2,289,857 44.95%
SLMP 595 2.03% 6,923 2.34% 235,701 4.63%
Valid Votes 29,252 98.52% 295,412 98.57% 5,094,754 98.24%
Rejected Votes 438 1.48% 4,277 1.43% 91,499 1.76%
Total Polled 29,690 67.88% 299,689 67.98% 5,186,256 55.87%
Registered Electors 43,740 440,836 9,283,143

1982 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

Party Deraniyagala[11] Kegalle Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UNP 19,249 57.33% 195,444 57.02% 3,450,815 52.93%
SLFP 11,997 35.73% 126,538 36.92% 2,546,348 39.05%
JVP 1,371 4.08% 13,706 4.00% 273,428 4.19%
LSSP 789 2.35% 6,184 1.80% 58,531 0.90%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 170 0.51% 890 0.26% 190,929 2.93%
Valid Votes 33,576 98.32% 342,762 98.69% 6,520,156 98.78%
Rejected Votes 572 1.68% 4,537 1.31% 80,470 1.22%
Total Polled 34,148 84.25% 347,299 84.30% 6,600,626 80.15%
Registered Electors 40,531 411,994 8,235,358

Parliamentary Election Results

Summary

The winner of Deraniyagala has matched the final country result 6 out of 7 times. Hence, Deraniyagala is a Strong Bellwether for Parliamentary Elections.

Year Deraniyagala Kegalle Electoral District MAE[12] % Sri Lanka MAE[13] %
2015 UNP UNP 0.55% UNP 3.57%
2010 UPFA UPFA 0.91% UPFA 5.02%
2004 UPFA UPFA 1.32% UPFA 5.88%
2001 UNP UNP 0.40% UNP 3.36%
2000 PA PA 1.40% PA 3.64%
1994 UNP UNP 7.49% PA 10.69%
1989 UNP UNP 2.66% UNP 7.60%
Matches/Mean MAE 6/7 6/7 2.10% 7/7 5.68%

2015 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

Party Deraniyagala[14] Kegalle Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UNP 24,468 49.84% 247,467 49.52% 5,098,916 45.77%
UPFA 22,674 46.18% 227,208 45.47% 4,732,664 42.48%
JVP 1,049 2.14% 18,394 3.68% 544,154 4.88%
CWC 608 1.24% 2,448 0.49% 17,107 0.15%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 296 0.60% 4,213 0.84% 83,938 0.75%
Valid Votes 49,095 95.51% 499,730 96.35% 11,140,333 95.35%
Rejected Votes 2,286 4.45% 18,770 3.62% 516,926 4.42%
Total Polled 51,401 77.17% 518,674 79.81% 11,684,111 77.66%
Registered Electors 66,607 649,878 15,044,490

2010 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

Party Deraniyagala[15] Kegalle Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UPFA 22,109 67.90% 242,463 66.89% 4,846,388 60.38%
UNP 9,204 28.27% 104,925 28.95% 2,357,057 29.37%
DNA 898 2.76% 13,518 3.73% 441,251 5.50%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 348 1.07% 1,549 0.43% 33,973 0.42%
Valid Votes 32,559 90.98% 362,455 93.32% 8,026,322 96.03%
Rejected Votes 3,229 9.02% 25,965 6.68% 581,465 6.96%
Total Polled 35,788 58.19% 388,420 60.93% 8,358,246 59.29%
Registered Electors 61,507 637,524 14,097,690

2004 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

Party Deraniyagala[16] Kegalle Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UPFA 20,436 50.60% 214,267 50.88% 4,223,126 45.70%
UNP 18,881 46.75% 186,641 44.32% 3,486,792 37.73%
JHU 824 2.04% 18,034 4.28% 552,723 5.98%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 246 0.61% 2,187 0.52% 59,247 0.64%
Valid Votes 40,387 91.85% 421,134 94.25% 9,241,931 94.52%
Rejected Votes 3,584 8.15% 25,685 5.75% 534,452 5.47%
Total Polled 43,971 76.98% 446,816 78.35% 9,777,821 75.74%
Registered Electors 57,117 570,299 12,909,631

2001 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

Party Deraniyagala[17] Kegalle Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UNP 20,383 49.99% 208,104 49.36% 4,086,026 45.62%
PA 16,528 40.53% 170,901 40.53% 3,330,815 37.19%
JVP 3,148 7.72% 36,711 8.71% 815,353 9.10%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 716 1.76% 5,924 1.40% 123,245 1.38%
Valid Votes 40,775 93.12% 421,640 94.90% 8,955,844 94.77%
Rejected Votes 3,014 6.88% 22,669 5.10% 494,009 5.23%
Total Polled 43,789 78.00% 444,309 80.10% 9,449,878 76.03%
Registered Electors 56,143 554,698 12,428,762

2000 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

Party Deraniyagala[18] Kegalle Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
PA 19,715 48.43% 201,114 48.88% 3,899,329 45.33%
UNP 18,443 45.31% 175,627 42.69% 3,451,765 40.12%
JVP 1,848 4.54% 22,028 5.35% 518,725 6.03%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 701 1.72% 12,643 3.07% 419,507 4.88%
Valid Votes 40,707 N/A 411,412 N/A 8,602,617 N/A

1994 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

Party Deraniyagala[19] Kegalle Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UNP 23,725 58.90% 203,938 51.24% 3,498,370 44.04%
PA 16,305 40.48% 190,689 47.91% 3,887,805 48.94%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 253 0.63% 3,383 0.85% 90,078 1.13%
Valid Votes 40,283 94.99% 398,010 95.89% 7,943,688 95.20%
Rejected Votes 2,125 5.01% 17,043 4.11% 400,395 4.80%
Total Polled 42,408 80.45% 415,053 80.78% 8,344,095 74.75%
Registered Electors 52,714 513,825 11,163,064

1989 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

Party Deraniyagala[20] Kegalle Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UNP 15,959 64.31% 174,334 61.12% 2,838,005 50.71%
SLFP 7,421 29.90% 80,668 28.28% 1,785,369 31.90%
USA 1,101 4.44% 15,168 5.32% 141,983 2.54%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 335 1.35% 15,084 5.29% 158,203 2.83%
Valid Votes 24,816 92.55% 285,254 93.95% 5,596,468 93.87%
Rejected Votes 1,999 7.45% 18,362 6.05% 365,563 6.13%
Total Polled 26,815 62.03% 303,616 69.46% 5,962,031 63.60%
Registered Electors 43,230 437,131 9,374,164

Demographics

Ethnicity

The Deraniyagala Polling Division has a Sinhalese majority (79.8%) and a significant Indian Tamil population (13.3%) . In comparison, the Kegalle Electoral District (which contains the Deraniyagala Polling Division) has a Sinhalese majority (85.5%) [1]

Ethnicity in Deraniyagala[1]
  1. Sinhalese (79.8%)
  2. Indian Tamil (13.3%)
  3. Sri Lankan Tamil (4.10%)
  4. Moor (2.70%)
  5. Other (0.10%)

Religion

The Deraniyagala Polling Division has a Buddhist majority (78.9%) and a significant Hindu population (15.7%) . In comparison, the Kegalle Electoral District (which contains the Deraniyagala Polling Division) has a Buddhist majority (84.4%) [1]

Religion in Deraniyagala[1]
  1. Buddhist (78.9%)
  2. Hindu (15.7%)
  3. Muslim (2.80%)
  4. Roman Catholic (1.90%)
  5. Other (0.70%)

References

  1. ^ a b c d e "Census of Population and Housing 2012". statistics.gov.lk. Department of Census and Statistics, Sri Lanka. 2012.
  2. ^ The mean absolute error, between the percentages of votes each party got in Deraniyagala and the Kegalle Electoral District. It is a measure of the difference in voting behaviour between the two regions.
  3. ^ The mean absolute error, between the percentages of votes each party got in Deraniyagala and the country. It is a measure of the difference in voting behaviour between the two regions.
  4. ^ "2019 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2019. Archived from the original on 2019-12-19. Retrieved 2020-06-10.
  5. ^ "2015 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2015. Archived from the original on 2019-12-19. Retrieved 2020-06-10.
  6. ^ "2010 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2010. Archived from the original on 2019-12-19. Retrieved 2020-06-10.
  7. ^ "2005 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2005. Archived from the original on 2019-12-19. Retrieved 2020-06-10.
  8. ^ "1999 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 1999. Archived from the original on 2019-12-19. Retrieved 2020-06-10.
  9. ^ "1994 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 1994. Archived from the original on 2019-12-19. Retrieved 2020-06-10.
  10. ^ "1988 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 1988. Archived from the original on 2019-12-19. Retrieved 2020-06-10.
  11. ^ "1982 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 1982. Archived from the original on 2019-12-19. Retrieved 2020-06-10.
  12. ^ The mean absolute error, between the percentages of votes each party got in Deraniyagala and the Kegalle Electoral District. It is a measure of the difference in voting behaviour between the two regions.
  13. ^ The mean absolute error, between the percentages of votes each party got in Deraniyagala and the country. It is a measure of the difference in voting behaviour between the two regions.
  14. ^ "2015 Sri Lankan parliamentary election Results" (PDF). elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2015.
  15. ^ "2010 Sri Lankan parliamentary election Results" (PDF). elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2010.
  16. ^ "2004 Sri Lankan parliamentary election Results" (PDF). elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2004.
  17. ^ "2001 Sri Lankan parliamentary election Results" (PDF). elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2001.
  18. ^ "2000 Sri Lankan parliamentary election Results" (PDF). elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2000.
  19. ^ "1994 Sri Lankan parliamentary election Results" (PDF). elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 1994.
  20. ^ "1989 Sri Lankan parliamentary election Results" (PDF). elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 1989.
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